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New case studies available
Quantifying aggregated prediction market data
Using aggregated data to find spreads in volatile markets and gain from arbitrage opportunities in prediction markets.
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IDEN AI
Revolutionize arbitrage through LLM
IDEN AI is designed to enhance the identification of arbitrage opportunities by identifying semantic mismatches — situations where two markets describe the same real-world event using different wording.
Automate Repetitive Tasks
Use of large language models to contextualise markets and identify markets with the same outcome.
Liquidity calculator
Most prediction markets have very limited liquidity. To avoid that the positions placed move the market too much, we built a liquidity calculator.
Predict volatility
The highest spreads are found in the most volatile markets. IDEM AI predicts future market volatility by utilising large language models to analyse sentiment.
Analyse all markets
IDEN AI analyses all major prediction markets, so you do not miss any arbitrage opportunity.
Improve Team Performance
Built in team module to collaborate on markets.
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Case studies
Learn from our case studies
We regularly publish case studies with arbitrage results.
Automate Repetitive Tasks
A great example of a spread within the same prediction market website. Polymarket listed a multi choice market and a single Yes/No market regarding the fact how much MrBeast will raise, or if he will raise $40M by 31 August 2025. It was possible to buy both options for a total of $0.93.
Who will be the next Pope?
This is a historic example of good arbitrage with relatively high liquidity for a prediction market.
Pietro Parolin: $0,352 (Myriad) Luis Antonio Tagle: $0,30 (Polymarket) Other: $0,327 (Myriad) Total: $0,97
2024 U.S. Presidential Election - Will X win?
During the 2024 U.S. presidential election, Polymarket often updated candidate probabilities faster and more aggressively than Kalshi, reacting quickly to polls, betting flow, and crypto sentiment. Kalshi’s prices frequently lagged due to regulatory constraints, retail-heavy flow, and stricter contract mechanics. This created arbitrage opportunities where traders could buy YES at lower implied odds on Kalshi and hedge by selling (or taking NO) at higher implied odds on Polymarket.
Decimal Front-Running
We access decimal pricing on Polymarket before everyone else. On 5-minute crypto markets, we front-run $0,99 bids with $0,991 orders after markets close, capturing fills nobody else can compete for.
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Process
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FAQ
Frequently Asked Questions
Unlock the full potential of your sales data with our feature-rich analytics dashboard.
What are prediction markets?
Prediction markets are financial platforms where people trade contracts tied to real-world events — such as elections, sports outcomes, or economic indicators. Each contract’s price reflects the collective probability of an event happening.
For example, if a “Candidate X wins” contract trades at $0.65, the market implies a 65% chance that Candidate X will win.
What is prediction market arbitrage?
What are “spreads” in prediction markets?
How can PrimeResearch find more arbitrage opportunities?
You have different questions?
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