Quantifying aggregated prediction   market   data.

Arbitrage in prediction markets occurs when the same event is priced differently across platforms.
For instance:

• On Platform A, “Candidate X wins” trades at $0.65

• On Platform B, it trades at $0.70

By simultaneously buying low and selling high, we can lock in risk-free or low-risk profit, regardless of the outcome.
PrimeResearch uses automated systems to detect and act on these discrepancies within milliseconds.

A spread is the difference in price for the same event across two (or more) prediction markets.

For example:

• On Polymarket, a “Yes” contract for “Will Candidate X win the election?” might trade at $0.60.

• On Kalshi, the same contract might trade at $0.65.

That $0.05 difference is called a spread.
It exists because markets are driven by different participants, liquidity, and information — which sometimes leads to temporary pricing mismatches. temporary pricing mismatches, this is more commonly seen in volatile small markets.

PrimeResearch uses a combination of data science, machine learning, and large language models (LLMs) to uncover arbitrage opportunities that most traders miss.

While traditional arbitrage focuses on numerical price differences, we also look for semantic mismatches — situations where two markets describe the same real-world event using different wording.

For example:

• On one platform, a market might ask: “Will Candidate X win the 2028 U.S. election?”

• On another, it could be phrased as: “Will Candidate X become President in 2029?”

Even though these are linguistically different, they refer to the same underlying outcome.
Our large language models analyze market descriptions, event metadata, and timelines to identify when two contracts are actually equivalent — even if phrased differently.

By matching these related events across multiple platforms, PrimeResearch can detect hidden arbitrage opportunities that purely numerical systems overlook.
This blend of language intelligence and quantitative analysis gives us a unique edge in the fast-evolving world of prediction markets.